SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kasimpasa |
78.23% ( -0.23) | 13.59% ( 0.12) | 8.17% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.22) | 31.2% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.37% ( -0.26) | 52.62% ( 0.27) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.62% ( -0.09) | 6.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.07% ( -0.25) | 23.92% ( 0.25) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.87% ( 0.09) | 45.13% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.96% ( 0.07) | 81.04% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 13.59% | 1-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 8.17% |
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