Supercoppa Italiana | Semi-Finals

Jan 3, 2025 at 7pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
vs.
AC Milan

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Supercoppa Italiana Semi-Finals clash between Juventus and AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Juventus vs. Fiorentina
Sunday, December 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: AC Milan vs. Roma
Sunday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Juventus win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 34.03% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
39.97% ( 0.11)	26% ( 0.03)	34.03% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.56% (

-0.14)

50.44% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

-0.12)

72.37% (

0.13)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

24.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

-0)

59.45% (

0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0.15)

28.25% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

-0.19)

63.96% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Juventus 39.97%

AC Milan 34.03%

Draw 26%

Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.97%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.03%