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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
48.58% ( -0.61) | 25.33% ( -0.08) | 26.09% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( 0.82) | 51.2% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( 0.71) | 73.04% ( -0.71) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.07) | 21.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( 0.11) | 53.91% ( -0.11) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( 1.02) | 34.32% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( 1.08) | 71.03% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.09% |
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