SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
51.38% ( 0.72) | 23.24% ( -0.29) | 25.38% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.95) | 42.81% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( 0.94) | 65.21% ( -0.93) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( 0.62) | 16.73% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( 1.09) | 46.65% ( -1.09) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 0.18) | 30.41% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( 0.21) | 66.61% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 25.38% |
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