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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
GL

AC Milan
0 - 0
Genoa

 
FT

Vogliacco (22'), Zanoli (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Although Genoa have shown signs of improvement, they still lack options across the final third, meaning Milan can continue their trend of keeping Serie A clean sheets at San Siro. The hosts are not all singing from the same hymn sheet - and their coach is apparently treading on thin ice - but they possess enough nous to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
75.03% (0.262 0.26) 15.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.19% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.856 -0.86)38.76% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)61.07% (0.911 0.91)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.149 -0.15)8.76% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.91% (-0.36500000000001 -0.37)30.09% (0.367 0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71% (-1.129 -1.13)48.29% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.56% (-0.833 -0.83)83.44% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 75%
    Genoa 9.19%
    Draw 15.78%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.335 0.33)
3-0 @ 10.17% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 6.2% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
5-0 @ 3.02% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.78%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 6-1 Sassuolo
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Empoli
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Juventus
Saturday, November 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Genoa
Sunday, December 1 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, November 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Como
Thursday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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