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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
RL

AC Milan
vs.
Roma

 
Coverage of the Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-1 Sampdoria
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Next Game: Roma vs. Parma
Sunday, December 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma has a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (5.36%).

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
60.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.69% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 17.42% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (-0.445 -0.45)45.99% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (-0.424 -0.42)68.3% (0.41900000000001 0.42)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-0.125 -0.13)14.63% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.25% (-0.232 -0.23)42.75% (0.228 0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.426 -0.43)39.93% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.395 -0.4)76.59% (0.39099999999999 0.39)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.87%
    Roma 17.42%
    Draw 21.69%
AC MilanDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.42%

Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 6-1 Sassuolo
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Empoli
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-1 Sampdoria
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Como 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Braga
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 4-1 Lecce
Saturday, December 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Atalanta
Monday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Roma
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League


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