SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
60.93% ( 0.18) | 20.78% ( -0.07) | 18.29% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( 0.17) | 40.46% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( 0.18) | 62.84% ( -0.18) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( 0.1) | 12.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% ( 0.22) | 39.2% ( -0.22) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.02) | 72.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 60.93% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.29% |
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