Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Servette had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
