SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 51%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
51% ( 0) | 22.08% ( 0) | 26.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 63.62% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64% ( -0) | 36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0) | 58.09% ( 0.01) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( 0) | 14.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.69% ( -0) | 42.31% ( 0) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( -0) | 25.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% ( -0) | 60.59% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.54% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-1 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.91% |
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