Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sion had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Sion win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
