Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
