SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich |
49.32% ( 0.02) | 22.86% ( 0) | 27.81% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% ( -0.04) | 39.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0.04) | 61.38% ( 0.04) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.01) | 16.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.01) | 45.48% ( 0.01) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.04) | 26.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( -0.05) | 61.89% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.81% |
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