SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
51.54% ( -0.1) | 22.97% ( 0.03) | 25.5% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( -0.07) | 41.46% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( -0.07) | 63.86% ( 0.08) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.06) | 16.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( -0.12) | 45.66% ( 0.12) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.02) | 29.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( 0.02) | 65.64% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.5% |
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