SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
43.35% ( -0.06) | 24.06% ( 0.02) | 32.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.07) | 42.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( -0.07) | 64.51% ( 0.07) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.05) | 19.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( -0.08) | 51.61% ( 0.08) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.01) | 25.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% ( -0.01) | 59.8% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.59% |
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