Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luzern in this match.