Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 70.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
