Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
