Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grasshopper Zurich win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.