SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | FC Zurich |
42.1% ( 0.1) | 24.8% ( -0.01) | 33.09% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( 0.03) | 45.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 0.02) | 67.71% ( -0.02) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.06) | 21.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( 0.09) | 54.65% ( -0.09) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.04) | 26.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( -0.05) | 61.52% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.09% |
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