Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
