Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
