Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Basel had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.

Result
Servette	Draw	Basel
51.78% ( -0.09)	22.4% ( 0.13)	25.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.37% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

-0.66)

38.48% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

-0.7)

60.78% (

0.7)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97% (

-0.26)

15.03% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49% (

-0.5)

43.51% (

0.5)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

-0.39)

27.77% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

-0.5)

63.35% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Servette 51.78%

Basel 25.83%

Draw 22.39%

Servette	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.03% Total : 51.78%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 25.83%