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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
P

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Porto


Lima (38'), Pires (40'), Holsgrove (45+2'), Delgado (45+5')
Holsgrove (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taremi (66' pen.), Martinez (83')
Marcano (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Porto

While Famalicao will be looking to kick-start their turnaround, they are no match for a Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. With Benfica's drop-off in form putting the Dragoes back in the title race, we are backing them to comfortably edge out the Pacenses and close the gap at the top of the table to just one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawPorto
12.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 18.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 69.13% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)39.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)62.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)42.66% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)79.01% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.007000000000005 0.01)10.48% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)34.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 12.69%
    Porto 69.12%
    Draw 18.18%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.17%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 12.69%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.18%
0-2 @ 11.37%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 7.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-5 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.75%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 69.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Famalicao
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, March 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Porto
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 3-2 Estoril
Friday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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