Last Game: Braga 2-1 Moreirense Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Penafiel win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.26) 
