While Rio Ave will be looking to maintain their solid start to the campaign, they take on an in-form Sporting Lisbon side who have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks. Having won four Taca da Liga titles in the last five years, Amorim's side are heavily fancied to go all the way once again and we predict that they will come away with all three points on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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