Benfica
1 - 2
Porto

Vinicius (84' pen.)
Dias (12'), Jardel (44'), Weigl (46'), Vinicius (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbemba (47', 58')
Diaz (9'), Telles (90'), Telles (90')
Diaz (38')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Final clash between Benfica and Porto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Porto had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Porto
49.93%	22.45%	27.62%

Both teams to score 62.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.8%

37.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.6%

59.4%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8%

15.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.18%

43.82%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18%

25.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22%

60.78%

Score Analysis

Benfica 49.93%

Porto 27.62%

Draw 22.44%

Benfica	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.93%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.62%