Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
29.19% (![]() | 23.56% (![]() | 47.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.57% (![]() | 41.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.17% (![]() | 63.82% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% (![]() | 26.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% (![]() | 62.25% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% (![]() | 17.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% (![]() | 48.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 10.84% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.24% |
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