SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
29.19% ( -2.38) | 23.56% ( -0.36) | 47.24% ( 2.74) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.42) | 41.43% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( 0.43) | 63.82% ( -0.42) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( -1.32) | 26.92% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -1.76) | 62.25% ( 1.77) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 1.28) | 17.77% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( 2.16) | 48.46% ( -2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.24% |
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