SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Casa Pia |
25.78% ( 0.56) | 24.6% ( -0.34) | 49.62% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 1.86) | 48.44% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 1.68) | 70.57% ( -1.67) |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 1.47) | 33.1% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% ( 1.59) | 69.69% ( -1.59) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.65) | 19.55% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( 1.05) | 51.46% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.62% |
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