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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
CP

Portimonense
1 - 2
Casa Pia

Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Estrela (11'), Diaby-Fadiga (26'), Klismahn (52'), Pedrao (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
Taira (17'), Soares (33'), Clayton (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, December 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia

Portimonense and Casa Pia will be looking to quickly bounce back from their respective cup disappointments and mark their return to the Primeira Liga on a high. However, Martin's side have found a way to grind out results away from home this season and we predict that they will come away with a slender victory on Wednesday against an out-of-sorts Portimonense side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawCasa Pia
47.52% (0.601 0.6) 25.41% (-0.14 -0.14) 27.07% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (0.273 0.27)50.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (0.241 0.24)72.74% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.381 0.38)21.41% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.585 0.59)54.41% (-0.585 -0.59)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.223 -0.22)33.35% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (-0.244 -0.24)69.97% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 47.52%
    Casa Pia 27.07%
    Draw 25.41%
PortimonenseDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.52%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-0 Sporting Covilha
Sunday, November 27 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Braga
Sunday, November 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Portimonense
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, October 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, December 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Trofense
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga
Saturday, December 3 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 20 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Chaves
Sunday, November 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Valadares Gaia
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Taca de Portugal


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