Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.
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