SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Switzerland Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Switzerland Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Norway Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy Under-21s | Draw | Norway Under-21s |
62.46% ( -0.51) | 20.37% ( 0.1) | 17.16% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( 0.28) | 40.54% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( 0.29) | 62.92% ( -0.3) |
| Italy Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( -0.06) | 12.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.66% ( -0.12) | 38.34% ( 0.12) |
| Norway Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( 0.66) | 36.97% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( 0.65) | 73.76% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy Under-21s | Draw | Norway Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 62.46% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.16% |
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