SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
35.49% ( 0.08) | 23.86% ( 0.01) | 40.65% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.04) | 40.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( -0.04) | 62.76% ( 0.04) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( 0.02) | 22.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( 0.03) | 56.31% ( -0.04) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( -0.06) | 20.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% ( -0.1) | 52.39% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.65% |
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