SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
50.07% ( -0.04) | 24.59% ( -0.01) | 25.34% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( 0.06) | 48.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.05) | 70.83% ( -0.05) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( 0.01) | 19.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( 0.01) | 51.34% ( -0.01) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 0.07) | 33.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( 0.08) | 70.26% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.34% |
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