SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
45.85% ( 0.52) | 25.34% ( -0.13) | 28.81% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( 0.36) | 49.51% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0.32) | 71.54% ( -0.32) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( 0.39) | 21.6% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.3% ( 0.59) | 54.69% ( -0.59) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -0.1) | 31.31% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( -0.12) | 67.67% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.81% |
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