SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Rennes |
20.42% ( 0.03) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 57.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( 0.08) | 41.49% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( 0.08) | 63.89% ( -0.08) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( 0.08) | 34.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( 0.08) | 70.73% ( -0.08) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0.02) | 14.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.29% ( 0.04) | 41.7% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.42% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.18% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.87% |
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