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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
50.35% ( -0.36) | 25.36% ( 0.18) | 24.29% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( -0.57) | 52.72% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( -0.49) | 74.36% ( 0.49) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.38) | 20.96% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( -0.6) | 53.71% ( 0.6) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.16) | 36.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.16) | 73.49% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.29% |
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