SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 26 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Albion | 25 | -15 | 26 |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 25 | -4 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Albion | 25 | -15 | 26 |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 25 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 26 | -19 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Albion had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Albion win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
34.6% ( 0.03) | 28.62% ( -0.01) | 36.78% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.47% ( 0.03) | 60.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.36% ( 0.02) | 80.64% ( -0.03) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.04) | 32.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 0.04) | 69.51% ( -0.04) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( 0) | 31.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( 0.01) | 67.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.77% |
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