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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
2 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Borbas (23'), Urreta (54')
Pereira (17'), Borbas (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mathias Bogado (32'), Greising (56'), Ayala (61')
Mathias Bogado (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 River Plate
Sunday, July 31 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 Boston River
Saturday, July 30 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
46.75% (-0.913 -0.91) 27.85% (0.258 0.26) 25.39% (0.651 0.65)
Both teams to score 44.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.15% (-0.458 -0.46)60.84% (0.455 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.12% (-0.346 -0.35)80.87% (0.343 0.34)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.658 -0.66)26.11% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.889 -0.89)61.17% (0.887 0.89)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (0.334 0.33)40.23% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (0.303 0.3)76.86% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 46.75%
    Plaza Colonia 25.39%
    Draw 27.84%
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.195 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.5% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 9.56% (0.248 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 25.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 River Plate
Sunday, July 31 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 River Plate
Monday, July 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Defensor
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 River Plate
Friday, July 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-3 River Plate
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 26 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 Boston River
Saturday, July 30 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 2-0 Plaza Colonia
Thursday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 River Plate
Friday, July 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Cerrito
Sunday, June 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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