SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Danubio | 19 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Albion | 19 | -12 | 21 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 20 | -4 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Penarol | 19 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 19 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 19 | 0 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 42.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Albion had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
28.49% ( 0.06) | 28.82% ( 0.12) | 42.69% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 43.64% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.37) | 62.51% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.89% ( -0.27) | 82.11% ( 0.27) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( -0.16) | 38.51% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( -0.15) | 75.26% ( 0.15) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.28) | 29.03% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( -0.35) | 64.93% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.81% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.68% |
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