Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Aug 12, 2022 at 11pm UK

Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi

Plaza Colonia
2 - 0
Cerro Largo

Quintana (33' pen., 58')
Guirin (68'), Quintana (75'), Kidd (75'), Barrandeguy (82'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (23'), Correa (32'), (67')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Cerro Largo
41.44% ( 0.21)	29.73% ( 0.01)	28.82% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 41.51% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.78% (

-0.09)

65.22% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.95% (

-0.07)

84.04% (

0.07)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

0.07)

31.09% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

0.09)

67.41% (

-0.09)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.23% (

-0.23)

39.76% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.56% (

-0.22)

76.43% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 41.44%

Cerro Largo 28.82%

Draw 29.72%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.44%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.72%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 28.82%