Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
