SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Boston River |
33.16% ( 0.06) | 27.65% ( -0.02) | 39.19% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.83% ( 0.07) | 57.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( 0.06) | 78.03% ( -0.06) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( 0.08) | 32.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( 0.09) | 68.65% ( -0.09) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.01) | 28.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.02) | 64.16% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.16% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.19% |
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