Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
0.01) 
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