Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.