Boston River
2 - 3
Progreso

Bentancourt (44' pen., 52' pen.)
Fernandez (34'), (49'), Nadruz (58'), (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (51' pen.), Platero (59'), Fernandez (82')
(79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Progreso
24.19%	26.46%	49.36%

Both teams to score 46.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12%

56.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2%

77.8%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89%

39.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18%

75.82%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88%

23.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03%

56.98%

Score Analysis

Boston River 24.19%

Progreso 49.36%

Draw 26.46%

Boston River	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.19%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 13.24% 0-2 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.36%