Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.