Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.