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Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 18, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Centenario

Boston River
5 - 1
Maldonado

Martinuccio (11'), Adrian Valdez (32'), Alberti (49', 67'), Rigoleto (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Batista (62')
Batista (20'), Nicolini (31'), Agustin Sant'Anna Quintero (41'), Zoryez (48'), Pereyra (79'), Ramos (82'), Estigarribia (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawDeportivo Maldonado
34.15%27.41%38.44%
Both teams to score 49.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.87%56.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81%77.19%
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01%30.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71%67.29%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.08%
Score Analysis
    Boston River 34.14%
    Deportivo Maldonado 38.44%
    Draw 27.41%
Boston RiverDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.14%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.07%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.44%


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