Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
