Plaza Colonia
2 - 1
Progreso

Zeballos (1'), Rodriguez (82')
Cafe (62'), Redin (68'), Dibble (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Silva (10')
Silva (69'), Barboza (83'), Romero (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Progreso
41.52%	27.89%	30.59%

Both teams to score 47.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.34%

58.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8%

79.2%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18%

27.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59%

63.41%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.23%

34.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.5%

71.5%

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 41.51%

Progreso 30.59%

Draw 27.88%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.51%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.19% Total : 30.59%