Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
